DFS Nascar Odds and Leverage for Draftkings - Crayon 301 - July 2023

This is just a real quick peek at the charts for those who are playing this Monday. Its about 1AM and high chance I have meetings going up to lock so this may or may not update again in time.

Updated: 8:03am CST

Odds and Situations

Truex and Bell headline as top options to this race. Ownership likely follows them but Bell has great history that says he may be super important if he doesnt wreck.

Kyle Busch is the odd man out. Starting 10th, single digit ownership and somewhat lacking in value for his projection. He did ok in practice by moving up a few spots so just maybe he makes sense from a GPP dart perspective.

Leverage

Truex and Bell would be intruiging if both fit (which is a tight fight, I tried it). Harvick and Logano are both intruiging and a bit underowned for their potential. I think that chalk can succeed here because it is a laps led type track, but I will still limit the amount of chalk I eat personally.

Last Year's Optimal

Most salary was used, and Truex was the chalk last year. He started on the pole and dominated for 172 laps to outscore everyone. In looking closely, outside of laps led points, finishing position was the only other way folks scored, seeing 30 and 40 was good enough to be optimal here.

Underowned Pieces with Pivots

I'll be honest, I didn't have time to research a ton for this race with so much going on with PGA and MLB yesterday. I am looking at this from the angle of pivot as I build. The table is basically who I will build around. The underlined names are who I think are the highest owned. Finally the circled names are pivot pieces from the underlined. Most builds I make will have some combination of these guys with 1 wildcard maybe.

Good luck!