DFS PGA Odds and Leverage for Draftkings - RBC Canadian Open - June 2023

We are back, and ironically enough, I was just in Canada last week, without my laptop and therefore without an article to produce. Well this week, I'm back home to cover the Canadian Open, which should make me somewhat an expert on Canadian things (JK). It was a great trip and I hope to do it justice as we break down some situations on this brand new course with no history to work with.

Updated: 9:37pm CST

Odds and Situations

Update: Ownership is close to done I think. The key to this viewis to follow the trend line and the highlighted leverage. You want to see who has the greenest dots, the highest plots in comparison to the trend line, and the lowest ownership amongst the highest dots if you want to play this chart. Also the tables below help give context to value, upside and leverage so pairing those situations will help build a solid lineup.. Hall and Hadwin seem to be top leverage options if you want to take one on.

The other question to answer is whether or not we should play either Fleetwood or Conners, as they are the first non 20% owned players on the list.

We dont see a ton of big names in this field. Therefore we put a lot of value into Hatton, Cam Young, and Matt Fitzpatrick up top. Rory is also up top as the 'best golfer' in the field, yet the best golfer is typically priced that way and not necessary to win. Theres basically neutral leverage on playing him, most will do it, but I am hoping the 9k guys are good enough. Corey Conners is sitting at 12% ownership when he is the 5th best play on my chart so I may take a chance there. However per Steve Bamford, his advice is never to back a Canadian in the Canadian Open, which means maybe he doesn't finish in the top 10? I also think that Higgo is intruiging for leverage, with Brandon Wu and Adam Hadwin right behind him.

Performance

From what I have gathered, scoring will be high this week and it is from the basics of Tee to green and Approach play. You will definitely want the scoring type as there are many birdie opportunities through the Par 4s here.

Actual Wins vs Expected Wins

The guy who continues to be next man up is Nick Taylor. However he has been missing cuts and something about him has been off. I havent looked into it just yet so proceed with Caution there. Beneath him though would be a playable Hatton, who is just as chalky as Rory so that isnt all that intruiging either to chase.

Recent Form

Theres two guys up top who have played well (Hatton and Burns) that we know, and then another guy, Myles Creighton who has played well on other tours. I dont know anything about him or his competition in that space, but he could end up being a dart with no ownership if you want to throw it. Whoever he has played against allowed him to finish in the top 10 the last 5 times he was out, and hes only 6400.

Leverage

Update: With this list having just 6 names this week, I may try and force at min 2 or 3 of these names in each lineup of a 20 max and see what happens.

As of this morning, Keith Mitchell is the top guy, followed by Adam Hadwin in terms of places to begin. Hadwin is more intruiging due to his scoring ability so I may start there. I am hoping for the best with Higgo and Kuchar for reignmakers purposes.

Check back in tonight for updates!