DFS UFC Odds and Leverage for Draftkings - Fight Night

UFC starting earlier than I'd like but it wont stop me from come back for another winner. If you have trouble understanding any elements in the chart, refer back to last week's article where I talk about each section in detail, towards building my winning lineup.

Odds vs Fights

On first look, it seems the best fight to target for a KO is going to be the main event. Infact it looks like the card is top heavy for finish odds, meaning the early fights might be something worth skipping over for the most part, unless we find leverage in one or two of them. Almeida and Ulberg sit at the top of the individual odds chart. Johnny Walker appears to be underowned, along with Anthony Smith so you may want to investigate those fights.

Leverage and Situations

The scatter plot makes Almeida look like a lock but 61% ownership and highest salary is not something I would lock in right away, ever. Is Almeida 5 times more likely to beat Rozenstruik at 13%?

Ian Garry is looking a bit stronger of a play to me at half the ownership.

The greener dots indicate theres leverage out there and you should probably can play at least one of them.

Pace vs Ownership

Which fights have the volume to hold up in the event it goes to a decision? Fight 4 seems high paced with high KO potential. Fights 1, 2, and 7 all seem to hit the top of this list for volume.

Projections

Streaks and upside matter to me. Value is tough to measure but 10x is a good guideline.

Check back in a few hours for more updates!