NFL Odds and Leverage for Draftkings Showdown - Green Bay vs Detroit Lions - Jam 2023

Updated: 6:54 CST

Feelin quite sick today but gonna force this data to get into the right hands today.

Expectations vs Salary

This graph takes all of the player usage from last few weeks and puts it over a trendline to find showdown value. The value plays tonight appears to be mostly on the Lions side while the odds seem to be on the Packers side. As of now you can stack either side based on this much detail. Goff actually has slight more upside than everyone on the slate per his usage. Justin Jackson seems to be the cheapest dart at single digit potential, along with Kalif Raymond, Reynolds, Zylstra and Lewis. Those arre names to consider for darts based on snap counts.

Updated: It would seem that any RB from detroit has the ability to cut your ownership down quite a bit. Swift and Jamal are both in leverage territory over Aaron Jones if you want to go different.

Vegas

My sheet projects that Green Bay will win just like Vegas projects. However the spread is -5 while I have -4. Not a lot of wiggle room but this gives me courage to potentialy use 4 players from Detroit for value since they are lesser owned in general.

Defense vs Receivers

Here, I want to see which WR has the best advantage against the defense. the TE for GB could be a good spot or the WR2 really. For Detroit, the WR3 which is auxilary weaponry.

Snap Counts

Here we can check on our darts. The columns listed are the week number and we want to make sure the darts have been getting recent snaps. I feel more comfortable at 20+ but you can decide what makes sense.

Projections

Rodgers is looking like a captain play now. St Brown is looking like a play that makes more sense in the flex than at the captain. Watson may be a little thinner but also captain viable as of now.

If Stacking the Lions

Pretty thin for Captain selections from the Lions. I wont ever recommend a Kicker captain nor defense captain. Maybe Goff is ideal for these stacks for now. Otherwise can fit 4 detroit players in the flex.

If Stacking the Packers

Do we think Watson will be touchdown happy? He could be a play at captain. Lazard and Dillion make more sense at the flex.

Good luck!