Maximizing Your Winning Potential: A Guide to Today's NFL Odds and Leverage for DraftKings Saturday

I forgot this slate was a thing so just gonna run through things quickly today.

Ceilings vs Salary

Just lookin for the guys with upside here, and Pittman seems to dominate the upside based on his last 5 weeks of workload. He is also the highest owned from the looks of things- him and Moss, and so I am unlikely to play them both together. 2 QBs and Mixon seem to fall right behind him, with Minshew coming in relatively low owned, but likely to stack with the high owned Pittman, especially in lineups not containing Moss.

Vegas

Of the 3 games on today's slate, Cinci vs Minn projects the lowest and that is thanks to Minn putting up the 3 pointer last week I'm sure. I dont know whether or not to think they have a great defense or if that was 2 bad offenses, but I will say Denver vs Detroit seems to be the most points expected today and so I will try and start there.

Summary

I use this chart to help navigate the situations surrounding the workloads below. We only have 3 games today but this covers the week.

Browning and Wilson will both have the best passing situations of the QBs, with Goff also in play.

The Detroit rush game could be interesting today as well.

QB

Nick Mullens essentially makes my trend useless as he doesnt pull enough data to show properly here over the past 5 weeks. Minshew seems to have the most upside, so that is my favorite on the surface, unless his QB situation is poor. Browning has higher ownership but surprisingly a lil bit more leverage.

RB

Gonna trust Mixon to showcase his upside today and lock him in based on this chart. Montgomery shows a bit of leverage at 20% ownership. Najae is showing a bit more value at the cheaper price, similar workload.

WR

We talked about Pittman, but other workloads over the past 5 weeks of interest would include St Brown, Addison and Boyd. We will want to see how these guys pair up against the defense in a chart coming up.

TE

Hockenson should be the guy but as we have seen last week, he can stink too. Maybe a week to pay down but we will see.

Defense vs Receivers

Hockenson is in a good spot. I'm not seeing good spots for Pittman or Chase, granted they can outplay their defender potentially too. Most of the teams give up points to the 2nd option at WR so that will be interesting. Denver and Detroit could find success with their WR1s.

Projections

Unfortunately the weeklong projections are showing which filters out many of todays plays. I wont have time to fix that for the slate only today.

FanDuel

QB

RB

WR

TE