PGA DFS Odds and Leverage for Draftkings Tournaments - Houston Open 2026

Last week the data seemed to align well but due to time restrictions I didnt get to truly build lineups the way I would normally. Still min cashed with 2 missed cuts in the lineup because the core plays landed well. Hoping for a better week than that! Odds vs Situations

First peek at everything has Min Woo Lee looking like Scottie Scheffler in this field, well above the next closest play in odds of success. He only had 1 historical visit here and won (last year). Doesnt mean hes going to go back to back but he could in a weak field event, currently hitting my optimizer 43% of the time. Top owned and priced so hes not a lock unless value makes sense. Of the top names, either Ricky Fowler or Ben Griffin could make this interesting since they are the lowest owned, with Griffin odds being better for the price. On the cheapest end, McGreevy sits there who never does well when I play him. I think he was one of my mc last week.

Course Fits (datagolf)

Good driving distance appears to be helpful here, along with good putting. This course is one of the more forgiving when it comes to penalties in the fairway so I think that will be worth peeking at in addition to good putters.

Strokes Gained Course History

In looking at the course averages vs the top 20 golfers at this tournament, the average person is losing strokes here. Tony Finau has gained the most strokes here at 7600. Shane Lowry and Sungjae seem to have the most gained with the least ownership. Denny McCarthy appears to be the lowest owned of the top list.

Performance

Tab says 2025 performance but these are 2026 now. I sorted by Off the Tee since we believe drivers could have an advantage. Reitan is interesting for the price, but his approach game has been underwhelming, as well as his birdies per round.

Boom Bust Tool (Min Woo Lee Focused)

Looking at correlations to the top player on the slate. I see David Ford atop of this list but no real course history to use. Rasmus, Hall and Horshel stand out otherwise. Tosti has the highest score in my course history at sub 10% ownership and Blanchet has been playing well recently at 3% ownership

GPP Targets for High Value Potential

The best plays are usually ones who appear in multiple views so we win with a combo look like this. Looking for plays that might appear in multiple charts with this view gives us reason to play them. McGreevy is the top name but his risk level is also high. I circled 2 examples as top of the trend line but left of the horizontal ownership lines is where we want to get our darts. Here are more names that I found overlap with (my GPP dart list) ✅ Meissner, Mac

✅ Reitan, Kristoffer

✅ Hughes, Mackenzie

✅ Brennan, Michael

✅ Castillo, Ricky

✅ Hoey, Rico

✅ Stevens, Sam

✅ Pendrith, Taylor

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