PGA Analysis, Odds and Leverage for Draftkings DFS - The Masters 2026

We have arrived and coming in hot! If you havent been following along, we have plenty of insights to work with from previous years but also new to this year in this writeup to make things happen. There are lots of different individual views that I post, but I also recommend trying to combine the views that stick out to you the most and try to make the most of a given story. I'll combine my 3 favorite charts at the botton of this writeup to give you my favorite GPP plays. Lets go

Odds vs Salary and Situations

I circled the top names that stand out to me in the upper region early. These are just anticipated lower owned names in the upper salary range. Usually that makes for good combinations when it comes to finding unique lineup construction. Someone like Colin M. are high risk and should be only played with caution considering his recent WDs. However if he is fully healthy and playing at sub 10% ownership that would be ultimately the top pivot at such low ownership. If he's still hurt, well that 6% doesnt help at all. On the lower end, I am seeing Sam Stevens is the cheapest name on the chart above the line and that always keeps me interested.

These are the supporting lists. In the name column it sorts based on the type of data. Scheffler has the highest ceiling although he hasnt played well this year. He recently had a kid so I dont anticipate him being the sharpest, yet he is someone that could go in under his projected ownership, thanks to his price point. I see Min Woo is the highest 'potential' value based on my calculation. Scheffler currently calculates as high leverage but I am leaning into Fleetwood as my favorite early leverage up top. And lastly Scheffler and Xander have the most top 10s over the past 5 years at the Masters.

Actual Wins vs Expected Wins

The field is heavy with names who have already collected a win this year. Cam Young, and Bhatia are the primary names who appear to have played well enough to win more than once this season. Berger and Gerard and Min Woo are all next in line to see a win based on how they have played. Will they match up well for the masters course?

Course Fits (datagolf)

From previous writeups it is safe to say that two key attributes of this course are those with driving distance and those with good scrambling skills. This map highlights both of them as helpful skills, as the ability to get to the greens early are how you save par here. The course is 5th easiest in driving accuracy, yet top 5 difficulty on the tour in par 4 scoring, par4 scoring, around the green, putting outside of 15 ft, approach shots under 150 yards,

and overall putting/approach shots too. So some combinations of golfers who can hit long (and high apex in some cases), those who can scramble, good gir, above average approach shots (or being able to avoid the approach shots > 150 yards, and those who get it close proximity to the hole for putting purposes are going to have the most success.

2026 Performance Stats

I filtered this down to sg off the tee as positive, along with those who are positive in sg around the green. Rory has gained the most off the tee from this list. Cam young is the top name on this list with a top 20 GIR ranking. Min Woo with the high value is showing up here 4th on the list and relatively low salary. Lets see if any of these guys align well historically at Augusta.

SG Historical at the Masters

This is a DFSed exclusive (along with most of this page). I pulled the course averages for the Masters tournament in terms of SG, and as you can see the average goler loses strokes on just about every category. Compared to the top 20 golfers, Tee to green and approach strokes are where most peope are gaining against the field as opposed to losing them. So as we go to the bottom table, I sort by who has gained the most strokes overall at Augusta and Scheffler/Rory,Xander and JT have gained the most in the past 5 years. Rahm is on the more popular side of things, likely due to his price, but has more bogeys per rd tan the top 4 names. Aside from Rory, Cantlay and then Henley have the least ownership per their history. Peeking at my odds for a top 6 finish chart (not shown here), Henley comes in with higher odds slightly, with a higher scoring average and less bogeys per round here.

GPP Targets (Ceiling vs Ownership)

This chart is new this season where I look at the potential value of the player and compare to the ownership to locate some of the best GPP darts in te tournament. The ideal way to look at it is to find the highest names in the upper left corner. Everything left of the yellow line is projecting sub 5% ownership. Left of the blue line is sub 10% projected ownership. So Reitan, Stevens and McNealy all look to go atop of this range while Min Woo is higher owned but higher value too. I like to find overlap on this chart to see which of those names atop make the most sense. When I look at this tonight, I'll likely point those overlaps out as my favorite plays.

Sims Top Lineups Generated

Also new this year, I created my own sims in hopes of generating a better outlook on things, and to unearth some new insights for myself. When sorting by the GPP score that I created, the top lineup generated actually points to Rahm and several other names I mentioned as interesting. I dont recommend playing these lineups as is but it may help with lineup construction thoughts. Perhaps the top lineup can have a Rahm + 1 pivot to make a winner?

Boom Bust Tool

One insight I gain from the simulations done is the ability to break down which pairs succeed together in lineup construction the most often. I am pulling this up from the Scottie Scheffler perspective. Robert Macintyre appears to do well with him, along with Rory and some other names mentioned so far surprisingly. Looking at who has the best course history, Aberg, Pat Reed and Rahm are first up, with Rahm playing well lately based on my best form chart. Haotong likely will get filtered out of that view since there is no number showing.

Dont forget to hit like on the post that brought you here. Check back later for updates!