NFL Odds and Leverage for Monday Night Football - Showdown Chargers vs Jets Nov 2023

I finally have a new laptop and therefore my tools are not all together just yet. I will be manually putting this thing together for tonight, without a working mouse.

Expectations vs Salary

This chart is a 5 week look at the workload and point potential per player from the history of what they have done so far. Herbert and Wilson have the top ceilings in terms of workloads in that time. Keenan and Ekeler are both looking a bit low on the volume side for their price. On the cheap side, Parham and Feheto look to be the best values (anything above the line is value).

Vegas Projections

I have the Chargers winning by 3 which is interesting as that goes against the Vegas projected total. There may be some injuries impacting the Vegas total.

If the game aligns to the projected score, this is what the lineup looks like in projections:

Defense vs Receivers

Both RBs are high usage and have the best path to points amongst their teams.

When LAC has the ball/stacked

There arent a whole lot of options that make sense at captain for leverage from the LAC side. I usually revert to usage, where Herbert makes sense. However, if playing the under, Chargers DST and Kicker both have potential to be a viable captain.

When the Jets have the ball/stacked

Garrett Wilson is intruiging as the captain. So is Zach Wilson. Beyond them as captain plays, you might get a good dose of Michael Carter leverage in the flex. Breece Hall has no leverage in capt but has high enough usage to warrant it.

Fanduel Values

Herbert, Wilson, the other Wislon and Parham or Everett seem to bring the most value to a lineup in fanduel. I try to stay above the green line if possible for 4 plays there.