NFL Sunday Night Football - Tampa Bay vs Dallas Showdown for Draftkings GPP

Gonna do this quick hitter with the basic graphics.

Salary vs Expectations

This is an interesting view; so 3 players very close in usage up top in the past 3 weeks. I believe Baker is the top play up top by 0.1, and Evans and Rush are very close in usage as well. There is likely some value in playing both QBS to see the upside while I believe Evans is the top captain owned play. ingo looks like the cheapest dart above the line. Shepard seems like the most value behind him.

Vegas Projections

The game could go over, especially if Dallas does their part to push it over. That may be the lesser owned side of the game so we will see how many Cowboys make sense. It never feels good to play players from bad teams.

Game Script

Tampa looks like they will benefit from running the ball moreso than passing it today. Meanwhile Dallas is facing a pass funnel so they should be passing it.

Defense vs Receivers

These positions have the best bet for getting open. Both TEs and essentially Mike Evans is in a tougher matchup, so hopefully that holds true against the grain of ownership. I will say that Evans has some contract incentives to do well, so maybe they force him the ball anyways? If ownership is there, I'm likely to avoid it tonight.

Redzone Targets

Of these guys, I am going to take a shot with Turpin finding the endzone on 2 possible catches today.

Optimal Lineup

Not a fan of playing this lineup but I do like that there are 4 cowboys in it with 2 bucs. That is likely what I end up playing from a structure standpoint, but not this lineup.

Tampa Bay Leverage Spots

Only 3 buccaneers have points left on the table, but it seems that Baker and Bucky are both viable for leverage at captain (in addition to Evans). If Evans is top owned, I will auto fade him as a captain but you can make that determination against the grain. The Kicker and Sterling Shepard project well for me on the bucs side for the flex.

Dallas Leverage Spots

It is possible to play Lamb as a leverage captain today, as well as Cooper Rush so either will be my favorites going into the slate. Jake Ferguson has flex leverage and points left on the table so I'm going to hope he is a lock play with Rush. Then the Cowboys defense is viable with their projection too, or Turpin or Elliot for a dart.