PGA DFS Odds and Leverage for RBC Canadian Open - TPC Toronto

This is a new course without a whole lot of insight we can pull from. This is great from a leverage purpose because the field is going to gravitate to certain golfers up top for safety when all else fails, aka Rory. Sooo we will have a few balanceable options this week if we focus on recent form + leverage, our specialty.

Odds vs Situations

Relying on odds a bit more than usual this week, we can see Rory is the top match, salary, and ownership. At half the ownership and cheaper we start seeing Conners as the direct leverage to Rory, which will be much tougher to get to if playing Rory. Therefore it makes for a great starting point if you don't believe Rory will dominate like Scheffler has recently. The greenest dot on the chart happens to be in the cheaper zone - Henrik Norlander so if playing Rory I am likely to pair the two together.

Recent Form

Taking a look over how folks have done in their recent tournaments, Rory and Gotterup seem to have the best. Then theres a few others who have had some recent top 15 finishes. 2 of which are in the 9K range where I think many lineups might end up touching.

Salary Range vs Ownership

Trying to get different sometimes is a matter of figuring out how to maneuver with the stars vs scrubs or the balanced builds. If many lineups are going 11K or 9K, the 10K range seems to go overlooked quite a bit, and therefore it will be worth investigating possible plays in that space.

10K+

Only 3 names in this space and of those 3 names over 10K, Corey Conners is the one that makes the most sense. Rory is a bomber which might be an attribute that benefits this course, but last tie we saw him after his major win, he barely made the cut. At 40% ownership, I'm ok being under the weight there and over on Corey for the leverage. The one thing that makes me nervous here is that if his ownership is being under projected, he could also join the list of this weeks busts.

9K+

The 9K range looks like a range that could be quite fadable aside from 1 or 2 plays in Lowry and Sungjae based on the leverage chart. I will likely leave them unchecked if building multiple lineups. If I have to choose one or the other, Lowry has the top odds in this range so I a leaning that way over Sungjae.

8K

There are several options in the 8K range that appear to make for decent leverage. What if that top tier fails? The 8K range begins to shine quite a bit if so and the only way to get to it is to kip some higher priced options. Noren is leading the pack in odds.

7K

Most lineups will end up getting someone from this range, and based on the odds, Smalley is the best bet to succeed. Cam Young is the highest value but that also has him projecting the highest ownership in this range as well.

Fades

These are the guys I'm not playing this week due to the negative leverage and potential ownership in double digits. Van Ruin + Burns are names that likely project how your lineup ends up if you take on negative leverage.

Under-owned Contenders

When I look for which of these under owned guys who have value, the circled 4 continue to show up. I may go for 2 in every lineup.

The issue with the 8K range is that they are not really showing any value for the odds so it would lead to unique construction but also require some serious sacrifice.

Good luck!